I skimmed the English “Hostels Guidelines”. But much reads like the generalized Project Management Templates I used to deal with. Written by people of good faith who had little actual experience with the work and processes of front line workers—ie authorship by health care management who had never worked as a nurses-aide or even shadowed them for a few days, writing policies for nurses aides to follow.
Heartbreaking work and changes will need to be made to get the camino to work on the new normal.
And even without the pandemic threat, the Camino experience is best with the existence of good uniform collective action. Pilgrims seem unawares on little collective ‘goods’ as: early morning risings, cleaning up after themselves, treating their gear with permethrin insecticide, mistaking donativo as ‘free’, carrying trash to a town receptacle instead of leaving it trailside, etc, etc.
The consequences of failed collective action on this pandemic are much more severe than a plastic bottle left trailside!!
And we are setting rules and policies with minimal information—less than 200 days since start of pandemic. I noticed that a breakdown of covid on the Diamond Princess (3711 passengers and crew) that of 712 infected, 410 had no symptoms when tested (positive) and 331 remained asymptomatic. Yet we still delude ourselves to believing screening by temperature with a non-contact thermometer will protect us from the sick.
We have no accepted treatment.
We have no vaccine.
The health experts arguments seem to be losing to those who fear the economic crisis shutdown brings on. But it looks to me like the only currently effective tools are hygiene and social distancing-both difficult everywhere on a Camino but nearly impossible in an albergue.
And on Diamond Princess 1 in 9 needed some sort of treatment; 1 in 18 had to go to ICU, an 1 in 60 died. Do France/Spain have the medical capacity for this. And appears to now be an uninsurable risk.
Am I missing something when I view that we are making critical decisions and policy on little information with huge downside risks when we are wrong?
Stay well.
The good news is, that the Diamond Princess is not a good analogy for the present day with what is now taking place. Since that time much has changed from the diseases epidemiology, to our knowledge base and research, to the transmission rates and identified comorbidities affecting mortality as well as morbidity outcomes.
An example of this is how there have been recent speculations by researchers as to things like: are there actual changes to the 'potency' of the virus itself, in terms of whether or not it is becoming less lethal and less transmissible contrary to earlier speculations of it becoming stronger. Is this going to be a seasonal illness, like influenza. Will it simply become like many viruses which develop into a symbiotic organism with no affects on humans.
These questions and speculations indicate that the basic description of the virus itself is pretty well understood, so that now we can begin quickly identifying significant viral changes.
At the time of the Diamond Princess, there was little awareness that a COVID-19 minefield lay in wait. Life aboard proceeded as normal. It was only AFTER entering the minefield and explosions mangled people that awareness of the danger became apparent. What was then, vs what we know now is quite different.
There are many things are different, about both the virus and the epidemiology of the disease, from the time of the Diamond Princess, that outside of the basic pathophysiology of the viral illness itself, many things have changed as COVID-19 has worked its way through the world populations.
I have been looking at the changes to albergues that have come online, and they are consistent with good infection control and cross contamination prevention for this virus.
In my mind, the primary question is whether or not Pilgrims will decide to follow and comply with required changes. . . .
not whether the rules and guidelines themselves will be adequate.
I will argue that currently, a Pilgrim's willing compliance to observe and follow protective protocols is at a different place, than back at the time of passengers onboard Diamond Princess. Back then, there was blatant ignorance about COVID-19 as a risk, along with an absence of knowledge and implementation of infection disease protections. THAT is what created the outcome on the boat.
Today, among those who are wanting to be on Camino, there is likely a well-defined base of knowledge about protective protocols. And that is coupled together with a healthy and positive level of anxiety about COVID-19 that makes compliance likely.
The role and weaknesses of a vaccine as being the primary tool for COVID-19 strategy for traveling has been discussed several times before so I won't rehash it again. I do think that the current changes being proposed, and which will be fine-tuned before being released in final form for implementation by albergues, will be sufficient when the time comes for Pilgrims to return to Camino with or without vaccinations.
Tourism may also require testing with results no older than 72 hours prior to boarding a flight. That is being currently looked at, and Iceland already looks like it is going to require it for entering travelers. So in addition to temperature scans, other tools may be put in place for entering Pilgrims coming to Europe.