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. But I, just as all the rest of us, do not have that magical crystal ball and ultimately rely on hope and positivity.
Curious as to all of us pilgrims that were going to start March/April? Are you thinking fall of 2020 or spring of 2021?
Hello. I was planning on leaving this May 4th--obviously that won't happen now. I am looking at postponing until May/June 2021 if all is well. If not it will be in 2022 at which time I will turn 70. Wishing everyone good health and safety during these crazy times. Peace!2021?
I was to start my Camino on April 19th. When I cancelled it on March 20th I was hopeful to go sometime in the fall 2020, but I now think it very unlikely. I would hope next for spring 2021, but there is definately uncertainty; it seems a long way off.
Me, too. We have tickets for October to do the Baztán. We are going to just wait and see.... and decide later.Still keeping the original late September thru late October plans in place. I will evaluate the need to cancel plans during the first week of September.
Andrew , you are in exquisite company .......enjoy .We're taking advantage of our confinement to plan 2021.
I will turn 70 which makes travel insurance quite difficult, so I am quite unsure whether I would see the Camino again.
Two yrs extra saving , Beautiful Casa Rurals , Great Hotels and 3 Paradors are yours for the milestone...enjoyIf not it will be in 2022 at which time I will turn 70
This is a very considered and sensible reply, and reflects my thinking.I doubt we will be going soon, or even this year really .....
I have noticed that when our (UK) ministers and scientists, at the daily live 5pm televised coronavirus briefing, speak of this they are now using the term "this first wave" as scientists believe that there will be a second wave of coronavirus later in the year, autumn.
Our Gov is planning to ease restrictions when they can - we had 1,000 deaths yesterday so it will be a while - but the plan for easing of restrictions, to open shops and businesses and to get the country running again, is to keep some restrictions, including social distancing, and that will stay in force until there is a vaccine, sometime in the middle of 2021 if all goes well. That is made more difficult as Covid-19 has already mutated into three strains (A, B, and C), all deadly, and there may be more mutations ahead.
If Spain does the same, removes lockdown but keeps certain restrictions such as social distancing - decisions being made on scientific evidence, not politics - then I cannot see how a refugio could work - where the social distancing? - so I now think that the Camino may be closed until there is a vaccine and it has been globally distributed
Still keeping the original late September thru late October plans in place. I will evaluate the need to cancel plans during the first week of September.
Quite frankly, at this time, I am not thinking that far in advance. Getting through the next few weeks is all that concerns me. I dont even want to think about it in case I have to change again. If and when I decide to go back it will be think about it one day and fly out the next, no advance planning whatsoever. But then flying out of Ireland does not need a lot of planning anywayCurious as to all of us pilgrims that were going to start March/April? Are you thinking fall of 2020 or spring of 2021?
Thanks, Tom. I really enjoyed your positive post.I would be on the Meseta now, having been due to start from St Jean on 26 March. I’m watching the stages on YouTube, though. As for the future there are so many imponderables that I’m not making any plans. A walk into town and a pint in a pub seems a long way off. The world has changed.Had planned on this year but it looks very unlikely now. On the positive side, got a new pair of Trail Runners and will be using them to stay in shape for next year. It may be crowded or maybe not. I don't take up much space and neither does my partner. Probably September 2021. I'll be 83 and she'll be 67. The Best is yet to happen.
Come on @Camino Chrissy - do my timelineI was to start my Camino on April 19th. When I cancelled it on March 20th I was hopeful to go sometime in the fall 2020, but I now think it very unlikely. I would hope next for spring 2021, but there is definately uncertainty; it seems a long way off.
Buffy, your timeline is still ticking away I'm sure, but May is now just around the corner and I doubt we will be let back in Spain so early. I will hope the best for you...it's no fun to be hugely disappointed.Come on @Camino Chrissy - do my timeline
Would be awesome and hilarious to meet face to face after getting through this pestilence!
P.S. Obviously the original plan for May-June 21 are still in place.
Probably will get a bit more... shall we say.... challenging what with folks shifting their walks from this year, but could be one heckuva surreal experience!
As long as we DO get to go
So sorry...I can sometimes be an impulsive goof and often call myself a Duffus! ☺@Camino Chrissy
It's May of next year - 2021 - you... Camino goof
We cancelled ours for April, but I truly hope things will be back to normal and do my camino in Sept/Oct this year, and then more camino for 2021.Curious as to all of us pilgrims that were going to start March/April? Are you thinking fall of 2020 or spring of 2021?
Had planned on this year but it looks very unlikely now. On the positive side, got a new pair of Trail Runners and will be using them to stay in shape for next year. It may be crowded or maybe not. I don't take up much space and neither does my partner. Probably September 2021. I'll be 83 and she'll be 67. The Best is yet to happen.
What a beautiful sentiment!That, and that first whisper to the wind " I am back" and hear the reply " you never leave".
Walk soft and stay safe.
The Malingerer.
Was due to start Camino Francés in June. Now hoping for September/October and if not then next spring.
Same here- I was planning to start my 8th Camino on May 4th- the Via de la Plata.Hello. I was planning on leaving this May 4th--obviously that won't happen now. I am looking at postponing until May/June 2021 if all is well. If not it will be in 2022 at which time I will turn 70. Wishing everyone good health and safety during these crazy times. Peace!
their full and normal schedule
Have always been intrigued Dave whether you guys on the west coast take the smaller plane [737 etc] first or last when flying to the Camino , and is Madrid the get off destination or Paris ?
Personally i can't sit in the 320's [ 2x2] or 737's[ 3x3] for any period in excess of 3 yrs unless up the front ..knees not in good shape.
Hey Dave,Still keeping the original late September thru late October plans in place. I will evaluate the need to cancel plans during the first week of September.
Beautiful, I can feel and understand your emotions. I walked 10 years in a row. 2019 was the year I didnt walk because my daughters were in the hospital for 4 months. You feel incomplete.I decided to cancel my annual walk this year when the virus was just emerging because I was very concerned that sharing space in albergues would be like walking into an incubator. This would have been my 10th year. So now I feel like giving the answer Tom got in the movie when he asked the clerk at La Posada if she had ever walked the Camino. I will be 75 in the Holy Year and am very concerned about the size of the crowds next year, so waiting until 2022 will be a very difficult decision for me to make. I have so many wonderful memories, so maybe that is what I get to keep with me for the rest of my life.
Time to buy that tent I think.
The operative word is intermittently.2022 or later????
And the message that without a vaccine this intermittent social distancing could be our lives until 2025.“Predicting the end of the pandemic in the summer [of 2020] is not consistent with what we know about the spread of infections.”
A previous life i think ,Dave! How on earth did you get onto an alien starship???
Dave! How on earth did you get onto an alien starship????
Actual albergue on Camino FrancésView attachment 73275View attachment 73276
That's a fair walk!If I'm still alive, it want be until 2022 John O Groats Rome as next year is the Holy year with to many pilgrim around.
I am afraid many of you are way too optimistic.
Yes, it's La Finca. The upper "bunks" don't need a curtain, because they are already very private.Is that Albergue La Finca? That's actually pretty close to the way a real floor-plan would look. I envision no more bunk beds, but 'cubicles' could sit on top of each other. The curtains would need to be replaced with a hard surface version for the purpose of sanitizing.. . . accordion-style expanding doors, perhaps.
Folks want to know where to donate to Camino-related projects, and if these types of changes ever become mandated, then lots of donations will be needed.
This all makes me wonder about the large, 'family' style shared tables and meals, which are enjoyed by many Pilgrims as part of Camino.
Yes, it's La Finca. The upper "bunks" don't need a curtain, because they are already very private.
Maybe I am being naive, but I am doubtful that the albergue sleeping arrangements will be near the top of anyone's post-pandemic fix list. There are many situations where many more people have close contact, and create a higher risk to public health than the albergues. Once we have a vaccine, the immediate COVID-19 risk can be controlled.
I would think that there are many many more important ways to reduce risks.
How many of the COVID-19 cases this year have been attributed to accommodation in albergue accommodation?
Am I missing something?
Yes, I understand that, which is why I am wondering if the albergues really present such a large risk, compared to other factors for the country as a whole. I don't know the answer - just wondering.With public health strategies, it is the reduction to the risk that is paramount,
Yes, I understand that, which is why I am wondering if the albergues really present such a large risk, compared to other factors for the country as a whole. I don't know the answer - just wondering.
It looks like no International flights from Australia until 2021 .Perhaps you are correct about both the vaccinations, and alburgues as COVID-19 vectors. We are simply speculating about what will carry over as personal protective strategies, now that the world has had the knowledge reinforced about how easy respiratory viruses can be transmitted. . . COVID-19 as well as others .
Do we know how much exposure to COVID-19 actually occurred in alburgues? No, nor is that something we will know. What we do know, is that a lot of the factors that can lead to exposure to COVID-19 currently exist in many alburgues.
With public health strategies, it is the reduction to the risk that is paramount, not the knowledge of who actually is infected. While we know how people become exposed to COVID-19 and other respiratory viruses, we can not know who is carrying the virus unless they are diagnosed, or they have been infected long enough to be accurately tested.
I personally do not believe a vaccine will be available prior to the resumption of travel and tourism. There is also the issue that vaccines are not 100% effective, and, as a group, have a variable effectiveness rate of 45 to 85%. There are also those who cannot take a vaccine due to contraindications in that person's health history.
That means that for a significant population of travelers, there will be no effective vaccination, even if one is available. The ongoing strategy for exposure reduction cannot rely on vaccination alone, but will need to incorporate those Personal Protective methods that we are currently using to reduce risks of transmission.
From what I've seen, at least in the US, is that as outbreaks subside and shelter-in-place orders are lifted, the strategies to reduce exposures will likely remain in place in some form for businesses. Right now, modifications to everything from restaurant seating, and food handling and serving, to grocery check out lines and purchasing transactions, are all being looked at and considered.
So when tourism resumes, it is not the lodging facilities with individual rooms that will be impacted. If government regulations are put into place that look at maintaining social distancing strategies, it will be lodgings which utilize dorm-style sleeping arrangements that will be affected the most.
If social distancing regulations/guidelines are enacted, requiring adoption by businesses prior to opening as normal, alburgues will be severely impacted if they wait to comply. Many issues, from the amount of fresh air ventilation and circulation, to the proximity of beds with no barriers, alburgues may have to make changes or stay closed.
None of that may happen. Vaccine protocols may be right around the corner. But it may be useful to plan for the negatives, while hoping for the most positive of outcomes.
It looks like no International flights from Australia until 2021 .
Because of the seasons that makes April the earliest sensible time (Napoleon closed)
The problem here Dave is if the virus repeats
So I pray that every country can get a vaccine ASAP and the Spanish Govt helps prepare all hospitality outlets moving forward , whatever the regulations.
This is going to be bigger than I originally thought in so many ways.
Keep safe
Whatever strategies are put in place to reduce risk of COVID-19 transmission, they cannot rely on a vaccine. If a vaccine is the requirement for tourism, then I would plan on 2022 or beyond as the earliest opening for travel.
Very much agree with this. UK was told today restrictions unlikely to be lifted by Christmas. Can't see Spain letting us in until they're sure we're not infective. That can't possibly be this current year. May not be next year. And we're not yet sure that even if you've had it and recovered that you're then immune. South Korea has 91 who recovered, tested negative then tested positive.The Spanish Influenza came in three waves over two years.
If we don’t stop the spread in our home countries, nobody is going to let us travel out of it to visit any other country.
As usual, you are spot on, I think.Perhaps you are correct about both the vaccinations, and alburgues as COVID-19 vectors. We are simply speculating about what will carry over as personal protective strategies, now that the world has had the knowledge reinforced about how easy respiratory viruses can be transmitted. . . COVID-19 as well as others .
Do we know how much exposure to COVID-19 actually occurred in alburgues? No, nor is that something we will know. What we do know, is that a lot of the factors that can lead to exposure to COVID-19 currently exist in many alburgues.
With public health strategies, it is the reduction to the risk that is paramount, not the knowledge of who actually is infected. While we know how people become exposed to COVID-19 and other respiratory viruses, we can not know who is carrying the virus unless they are diagnosed, or they have been infected long enough to be accurately tested.
I personally do not believe a vaccine will be available prior to the resumption of travel and tourism. There is also the issue that vaccines are not 100% effective, and, as a group, have a variable effectiveness rate of 45 to 85%. There are also those who cannot take a vaccine due to contraindications in that person's health history.
That means that for a significant population of travelers, there will be no effective vaccination, even if one is available. The ongoing strategy for exposure reduction cannot rely on vaccination alone, but will need to incorporate those Personal Protective methods that we are currently using to reduce risks of transmission.
From what I've seen, at least in the US, is that as outbreaks subside and shelter-in-place orders are lifted, the strategies to reduce exposures will likely remain in place in some form for businesses. Right now, modifications to everything from restaurant seating, and food handling and serving, to grocery check out lines and purchasing transactions, are all being looked at and considered.
So when tourism resumes, it is not the lodging facilities with individual rooms that will be impacted. If government regulations are put into place that look at maintaining social distancing strategies, it will be lodgings which utilize dorm-style sleeping arrangements that will be affected the most.
If social distancing regulations/guidelines are enacted, requiring adoption by businesses prior to opening as normal, alburgues will be severely impacted if they wait to comply. Many issues, from the amount of fresh air ventilation and circulation, to the proximity of beds with no barriers, alburgues may have to make changes or stay closed.
None of that may happen. Vaccine protocols may be right around the corner. But it may be useful to plan for the negatives, while hoping for the most positive of outcomes.
What was the source?Just read that the Camino aims to be open from this autumn. Not sure how reliable the source is, but the fact remains that no one knows when things will be open until the Government makes an official announcement. Anything else reported in the press is pure speculation.
I read this tooJust read that the Camino aims to be open from this autumn. Not sure how reliable the source is, but the fact remains that no one knows when things will be open until the Government makes an official announcement. Anything else reported in the press is pure speculation.
I am going to remain positive and hope to maybe walk some camino later this year and to show support to the local businesses that will be desperate for custom.
On a separate note, I don't believe Australia won't have international flights this year. They are already talking about allowing New Zealanders in, and they aren't going to be paddling across the Tasman!
Hoping for October as well!Still hopeful for October 2020 which keeps me motivated to stay fit and well.
It may not be as crowded as the cathedral has requested the Holy Year be extended.While it’s impossible to know when anything akin to “normal” will return, my canceled April 2020 walk won’t happen again until at least April 2022. This Fall seems way too ambitious given the unknown and 2021 sounded overcrowded as a Jubilee year even before the 2020 pilgrims rescheduled their postponed trips a year.
We may have flights to NZ, but it is up to the EU that will count, so follow the EU on when they will have flights allowed. Then the I can jump over there as quickly to see and help out.Just read that the Camino aims to be open from this autumn. Not sure how reliable the source is, but the fact remains that no one knows when things will be open until the Government makes an official announcement. Anything else reported in the press is pure speculation.
I am going to remain positive and hope to maybe walk some camino later this year and to show support to the local businesses that will be desperate for custom.
On a separate note, I don't believe Australia won't have international flights this year. They are already talking about allowing New Zealanders in, and they aren't going to be paddling across the Tasman!
Curious as to all of us pilgrims that were going to start March/April? Are you thinking fall of 2020 or spring of 2021?
Thanks for the update,maybe get to Portugal this year,Portugal (where I live) is opening up much faster than Spain. Hotels, hostels and
campsites can open from Monday, as well as restaurants and cafes. There are no travel restrictions within the country.
Portugal are keen to offer holidays from July to international visitors. There are currently no flight restrictions from the EU, EEA, UK, Portuguese speaking countries and the USA.
So doing part of a Camino here will definitely be viable soon if you are happy to leave the Spanish part until another time.
View attachment 75123
Dean I am hoping that as the vaccinations unfold that borders will reopen and that the Camino may be safe and open by mid August or early September. The unknown factor is the variantsCurious as to all of us pilgrims that were going to start March/April? Are you thinking fall of 2020 or spring of 2021?
It's not just vaccinations etc, but the ongoing ending of the Respiratory Diseases Season -- but there'll be another such season from next Autumn onwards, so that a late Spring or a Summer Camino might be more realistic than an Autumn 2021 project.Dean I am hoping that as the vaccinations unfold that borders will reopen and that the Camino may be safe and open by mid August or early September.
As I've had to cancel my Camino Frances for the second time (rebooking for late may next year). I'm now looking to do the Ingles in late Aug early Sept. Myself and my wife will have had both of our vaccinations by then so hopefully this will be possible.